| Sullla said: OK, let's step out of the realm of "yes it will" versus "no it won't" and look at some actual numbers. I've yet to see anyone aside from the topic creator actually do that. As said initially, the Wii is currently 2.32m units behind the 360. That's quite a lot of consoles to make up, even for the Wii. Whether or not it will pass the 360 by the beginning of April will depend heavily on what happens in the next two weeks, before 2007 comes to a close. I'm still waiting to see whether or not the Wii numbers are quite as massive for this week as many are hoping. Still, let's assume for the sake of argument that the Wii can make up a full million units before the end of 2007, leaving it only 1.32m units behind. (I actually don't think it will do quite that well, but go with it for argument's sake.) With that assumption in mind, will the Wii pass the 360 before the beginning of April? Here are the comparison numbers from Q1 2007: VGChartz Hardware data for the period 07th Jan 2007 to 01st Apr 2007:
This is for America only, obviously. Here's where the numbers I get don't stack up with the numbers of the topic creator. According to VGChartz, the Wii only outsold the 360 by about 300k units in the first quarter of last year. In order to meet the sales target we're discussing here, Wii sales will need to more than quadrule that margin of victory... and that's assuming that 360 sales don't see any increase either. I'm sorry, but I'm not seeing that happen. So IF the Wii makes up a million units on the 360 in the next two weeks (that's make up a million, not sell a million!) and IF 360 sales stay level and IF the Wii sells DOUBLE what it did last year in the first quarter, then yes, it will pass the 360 in America before April. Unfortunately, there's a lot of "ifs" in there. The Wii is definitely going to pass the 360 in American sales, but it's probably going to happen during the late spring or early summer. Think May/June 2008. |
You're forgetting that Wii production has been seriously upped. Even if NA only got 1/3 of Wiis made during that time, that's only 1mil Wiis per month. Nintendo is obviously making a lot more than that now.
