Avinash_Tyagi said:
Because Sony and MS leave the game market, youre right : P
No seriously, there is no way Ninty will be out first |
I would put the probability of each of the manufacturers being out first as:
Microsoft: 45%
Sony: 35%
Nintendo: 20%
Even though I don't think it will happen this way, it is possible that Nintendo will go from selling 60% of current generation consoles in 2008 to 50% of current generation consoles in 2009, and falling to 40% in 2010 and 30% in 2011. If Nintendo started to see this trend flesh out it is likely that they would plan to release a follow up console in late 2011 while they were still a very popular console manufacturer; at the same time, Nintendo's loss in yearly sales would probably lead to increases in sales of XBox 360 and PS3 systems and they would (probably) see slightly longer lifespans.
