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Just to clarify, are we talking about this period?

 

VGChartz Hardware data for the period 25th Oct 2009 to 02nd Jan 2010:

Console Wii PS3 X360
Total
11,008,664
5,849,555
4,564,238
America
5,429,650
2,347,952
2,582,494
Japan
1,007,991
816,913
57,917
Total Others
4,571,023
2,684,690
1,923,827

 

Because if so, I really don't know how people can see X360 sales (the console people seem to give the edge due to Kinect) shoot up to over 8 million for that 10 week period, which is basically where it's going to need to be - and that's being extremely generous, because it also requires the Wii down 30% YoY.

Basically, the question is whether or not Kinect can push over 3 million X360's this holiday. That is, Kinect is sold to over 3 million new owners (people who are without a 360 right now), on top of however million sales to existing owners. I think the idea is laughable - even if Kinect is wildly successful, I doubt MS will produce enough to meet such demand.