microsoft knows fully well that were it not for the rough and the delayed launch of the ps3, the 360 wouldnt be where it is in sales numbers today. that said, the chances of the ps3 overtaking the 360 this Gen is slim mainly due to the fact that the 360 always has a $100 cheaper model. once the PS3 drops to $199, that will be the death knell for 360, as majority of the sales of the 360 comes from the cheaper model as rrod victims normally purchase the cheaper arcade models just incase of another rrod occuring.
as for kinect and move, i thinks both will have minute effect on sales numbers as the casual market is already saturated with the wii.







