Which of the three will be first out of the gate next gen?

[Gamerace]

Avinash_Tyagi said:

Gamerace said:
I think they'll all go closer to 10 years as MS & Sony will need a lot of time to recover all the $$$$ they've lost out the gate this generation.
I do not think Nintendo will come out with a HD-Wii in 2-3 years either. HD-TV owners are buying the Wii anyway, so why bother?

Plus all 3 have gone on record saying they don't want to start a new generation in 4-5 years. 3rd parties would rather no one did either as transistion periods hurt everyone.

That said, eventually their will be one. Could go in any direction, including being started by a new competitor to the field. Nintendo would be best positioned to introduce one earliest.

 I don't believe that 10 year garbage from Sony or MS, both of them aren't going to stick with consoles that are going to top out around 30 million in WW sales one will launch in 5 years at most

If they ditch this generation early then either MS or Sony will end up in the red for an entire generation like the xbox was.  MS could afford that once, but not twice (shareholders will have a fit) and I doubt Sony could stomach that kind of loss even once.  As long as everyone has nothing to gain by an early start, they'll hold off and actually let profits happen.