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In 2011 the performance difference between the hardware that could be launched for $200/$300 and the PS3 (or XBox 360) is similar in size to the performance difference between the PS3 (or XBox 360) and the Wii. At the same time, 5 years of research and development from any of the companies on the next generation Wiimote is likely going to produce an input device which is far better for motion controlled games as well as conventional games.

Basically, between Q3 of 2010 and Q4 2012 all three companies will have released new hardware because they will be obsolete in comparison to the competition.