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I see Microsoft confusing it's confusing it's fanbase by marketing the hell out of Kinect. I see them confusing potential casuals by marketing the hell out of Halo, Call of Duty, etc.

I see Sony releasing GT5 and increasing hardware in Europe and Japan. I don't see move causing any noticeable change in hardware initially, although it may in the long run I don't know. I suspect current trends to continue and Ps3 continues to outsell 360, only more because of the holiday. 

I think the trends will stop and PS3 catches 360 by late 2011.