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It really doesn't matter if they sell for 20 years longer, once all three new generation consoles hit the scene, the past gen is officially over.  Sony will not overtake the 360 during this generation.  Sales are declining overall for all consoles and making up a 5M deficit, especially when this is the PS3's fourth year will be no easy feat.  I think we all will have a better picture come the holiday season.  If the PS3 does not outsell the 360 by a large margin during the holiday sale then the PS3 will have no chance at overtaking the 360.