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Fedor vs Werdum----  Fedor has slowed down the last few years and has already begun his decline as a fighter.  Now, the weigh-in showed this.....fedor looked even chubbier than he usually did which isn't ideal for a fighter.  Werdum looked both ripped to the bone, and bigger than fedor which is a bad combo for the russian.    Now, fedor might beat werdum in a rematch but he's going to have to be smarter.  I think that fedor got overconfident that he could avoid a submission, b/c he's great at sambo, a russian grappling art that has a lot of submissions though a lot of leg locks as well.   During the rematch he should just keep it standing to basically KO werdum and if he's brave, finish with a flurry of ground and pound.

 

Lesnar Vs Carwin.  - -  Carwin is 3 years older than lesnar and about 20lbs smaller, has worse wrestling as well.  Brocks going to turn this into a wrestle-hump match just like he did to mir and couture, wear carwin down.  Brock has also recovered from the diverticulosis, and his newest videos looks scary as f#$* in.  He's obviously recovered well.  Lesnar gets this one but I still think that it's going to be a good fight as carwin is the only one that would want to stand there and trade punches with lesnar.    So carwin has a chance but I dont give him a great one at all.