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Mr Resetti said:

Correct me if I'm wrong, because I have a little confusion in my head.

The last four weeks of sales (worldwide!) the Wii was ranging in the 650-700k per week. Summing it all up it shows that roughly 2.6-2.7 millions Wii has been sold WW in a month time... How is that possible if Wii is always supply costrained by the production of just 1.8 millions.

Also I tried to figure out how many Wii were produced from the beginning, last november, throughout the year, based on what the PRs said.  First month was just 500-600k (November), from December to July was increased to 1.0m a month, then from August till the end of this month is on a month production of 1.8m.

If I sum it up, the result is in the range of 17.5-17.6m units (600kx1 + 1.0x8 + 1.8x5), or maybe less if the last production increase was delayed till september (that would lead to the Wii being below 17 millions and your prediction, shown in the front page, totally incorrect). This lead to the conclusion that there are at most 500k Wiis left for sales throughout 2007. And I don't see how this could lead to another 1.8m units sold only in the USA for Christmas.

There are several explanation to these conjectures I made: 1) Nintendo managed to do some extra work and made more Wiis than expected; 2) VGCharts are way off with sells numbers, showing more HW sold than produced or/and 3) Nintendo is in huge trouble for this Christmas, having only crumbles left to sell! 

Anyone that has better knowledge of this matter please explain it to me.


 Retailers sitting on excess stock and releasing them for the holidays



 

Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)