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My guess would be Kinect.  Based on the interested "Natal" generated last year.  Also it has more advertisement potential, it's new, different.  Move might get stuck in the wii-like area, so wii households won't probably see the purpose. 

In the end though, I think both will fail to get the same level of mainstream/casual exitement the Wii generated when it first came out.



"¿Por qué justo a mí tenía que tocarme ser yo?"