Halo 3 sold the first 10 million when the userbase topped out at a little under 35 million or so. This was with a launch where it had a relatively small library to compete with as opposed to now, and it was the most popular brand of the most popular genre at the time and an initial 1 in 3-ish attach rate. One in every 3 console owners bought the game in its first couple months.
With PS3 at 40 million by holiday, I just can't see that kind of attach rate for this genre. I just can't. I don't care how amazing the game is.
I don't think there's a chance that GT5 outsells Reach lifetime. I'm going to say Reach hits 10-12 million, and GT5 ends up about 7-8 million.
The top seller for PS3 is COD:MW2 at a little over 8 million. Is GT5 a more powerful brand than that right now? Maybe worldwide, and it IS exclusive...BUT....
The top selling exclusive is MGS4 at 4.8 million. Is GT5 more than twice as strong a seller? Dunno.
Can't we all just get along and play our games in peace?
