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Xoj said:

no even 3d mario dont make that numbers

if not a PSP monster hunter, Pokemon DS or full scale final fantasy/dragon quest dont expect anything like 1.5m

3D Mario was never as big as Donkey Kong was in its peak, though.

In Japan, VGC shows:

DKC: 3 mil
DKC2: 2.21 mil
DKC3: 1.77 mil

SM64: 1.92 mil
SMS: 0.87 mil
SMG: 1.13 mil

As long as the game is good and marketed well, I think Donkey Kong will do fine - I don't see why 1.5mil sounds impossible. Proportional to consoles sold, the Donkey Kong Country series did better in Japan than any other region (the sequels saw huge dropoffs in the west).