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I think it could be as high as $300 at launch first year

as the normal non-gaming following people,by the name only think of it as an update like DSi,ds lite,DSiXL so they will still be buying 3DS if not now in the future as they love DS

then they can reduce price next year when costs are down to really push

also as PSP is not posing any competition in the WEST,Nintendo can price it high as its cost's will be high too

 

if 3DS is cheap to make and Nintendo wants to push it from the getgo then $200 would be best