Did Nintendo just Dreamcast the PSP2?

[joeorc]

jarrod said:

joeorc said:

even if they launch first many of the game's will go multi-platform unless you pay, or help with production or buy the developer. something Nintendo does not do that often, help with development maybe..but payout's most likey no.

even if they get the jump on both the xbox3 or playstation 4 they will get timed exclusives. pretty much what Microsoft and Sony got this generation. because no single platform is not worth the rest of the market without incentive.

which it's going to upto Nintendo to poney up the incentive what ever that may be.

Again, it depends entirely on how the market plays out.  If Wii2 manages an early PS2-like huge lead, Nintendo will get a ton of defacto exclusive content (like PS2 did).  If the market simply fractures like PS3/360, we'll see 99% multiplatform R&D (again, like PS360).

3DS is basically taking a PS2-like approach, I expect Wii2 will as well.  It might work out, it might not, but I think that's very much the direction we're headed...

based on current trend's that's most likely never going to happen because 3rd party exclusives are less and less likely unless you incentive them.

it's I think a pipe dream of old to get that complete 3rd party exclusivity anymore simply because it's not worth to just go one platfor unless their's an incentive.Even if you have the largest market share among the game console's the other's still have plenty of install base you would have to pass anyway. which still would take atleast a year or two. which by that time they may have released one new system of their own. consider this

say dintendo does release early..say 2011 there is still more Wii's on the market than that Wii replacement. now what will it offer over the current Wii?

if you notice there will not be much but higher graphic's and maybe a better online structure.

what price point will it be at $300.00 pretty much inline with both the xbox360 or the PS3 the Nintendo product's are not going to get a sizable jump in the technology front over these already on the market with out costing the consumer more money. Nintendo has alway's went the LOW end. if they went the High end it would be exciting to say the least. but i very much doubt it.

that still leaves the :

PC

the XBOX360

Playstation 3

an nintendo's very own Wii all still on the shelf.

the 3RD party developer's are not going to leave the previous generation system's out in the cold for only one system esp. since the other's have healty sale's.

but lets say for sake of argument

the Wii replacement will be worth more than the current Wii, but not as much as the xbox360 or the PS3 because the hardware is expensive ands even now in order to be near the tech. it's going to cost Nintendo some money .

the Wii is still selling fantastic.

the point is were almost at sturation point for total system's in the market Retail space is so small. so this say take's over the space of the PSP..right.

So now sony has little to no space for their PSP. that still does not take away from the fact that the Wii will still be taking up quite a bit of space of it's own.

no one is going to walk into Walmart and see only Nintendo system's esp. when both the xbox360 and the PS3 are haveing strong sale's. the Wii's replacement I would say is not going to be released next year. i doubt even in 2012 also.

the time of the single one system dominance is pretty much over. in game console's Microsoft is a very strong system slaes on the market and now sony has built the PS3's lossed market share back some of what it lost. it still lost quite a bit but that's a whole other topic.