By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close
Smashchu2 on 16 June 2010
Edit Thread
jarrod said:
darthdevidem01 said:
jarrod said:
darthdevidem01 said:

The Wii's successor is unlikely to get such support as PS360 are extremely good at selling software

DS's competitor was terrible at selling software.


Again, depends entirely on the software.  It's better for some (most really), but not for all (Sega, Hudson... even Namco Bandai, Capcom and Ubisoft had the biggest returns on Wii last FY versus other systems).  It's also generally worse for legacy franchises versus last generation on PS2 (plus GC & Xbox), which is more the issue imo.

Wii's successor will be launching from a far, far stronger position than Wii did, and PS4/Xbox 3 will probably be launching from a weaker position than PS3/Xbox 2 did in developer's minds...

Depends on the architecture of future consoles too. If they can have 1 game as a multiplat across PS3/720/Wii2 then it won't matter.

SEGA not doing well is their own fault or the marketings fault (Valkyria Chronicles). Same with Namco Bandai.

Capcom has done well with RE5, maybe nothing else though.

I tend to think Wii2 to PS3 will be similar to 3DS to PSP spec wise... a clear improvement, but not exactly a generational one.  I also expect Wii2 to preempt the cycle and launch probably a year or more before Xbox 3 and PS4 though (say Q4 2011 versus Q4 2012 or later), and I also expect the latter to be less of a bank-breaking generational shift than 360/PS3 were.  Micrsoft and Sony don't seem to be in any hurry to go next generation, their massive losses and frankenstien Wii-too add-ons are proof enough of that.

I would disagree that Nintendo will launch before Sony and Microsoft. Right now, it's a game of ignorance. They think they can tap into the expanded audeince (which neither of them will) and Sony thinks that 3D is the wave of the future (like Blu-Ray was). Both will learn fast that they can't get into the expanded market, and there is no where left to go. They are in a box. One or both of them will implode, killing sales for the system (very likely the 360). I expect Microsoft, like with the 360, will be quick to release a new system to one up Sony. Sony will be reluctant to go because they think there is a 10 year life cycle. They will eventually get it and jump. Nintendo will not release a new system until Sony does (they do everything to beat out Sony, even making the 3DS). Nintendo will try to release before they do.

I expect it to go like this

  • Microsoft launches first.
  • Sony resist, but is eventually wormed out
  • Nintendo jumps in once they think Sony has biten

So: Microsoft>Nintendo>Sony.