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joeorc said:

and Nintendo is not in any hurry also

the economy we have now made sure of that. this generation is most likely going to last longer than many people think. None of them are in a hurry to start a new generation..the Wii print's money remember.

See that's where I think you're wrong.  Nintendo might be a worldwide company, but they always base their moves off Japan.  And Japan's in dire need of a Wii refresh or replacement.

I think you can also look to their internal R&D for clues, the only new announcement there at E3 was Zelda, and the rest of EAD/SPD is firmly focused on 3DS after Wii Party and Metroid wrap this summer.  That tells me they're winding Wii down inhouse, and that also tells me we can probably expect the next Wii in 2011... which would also perfectly match the 5 year cycle Nintendo's had for consoles the past 2 decades.  Nintendo's approach to Wii2 is going to mirror 3DS, exactly like Wii mirrored DS.