| Mountie said: Avinash, You've been around long enough to know that you can't compare Wii first year to PS2 first year properly since the PS2 launched in Japan first: http://vgchartz.com/hwlaunch.php?cons1=Wii®1=All&cons2=PS2®2=All&cons3=PS2®3=Japan&weeks=156 By the slopes of the graphs you can tell that the Wii is selling at approximately the same rate as the PS2 in its first year once the rest of the world kicked in. True, the Wii was supply constrained whereas the PS2 wasn't. But you can't say the Wii will double because the PS2 doubled, because the PS2 DIDN'T! Look at the slopes, they are the same. This is an interesting graph showing how the Wii is currently doing in Japan: http://vgchartz.com/hwlaunch.php?cons1=Wii®1=All&cons2=PS2®2=All&cons3=Wii®3=Japan&weeks=156 |
Yes that's true that PS2 launched earlier in Japan than in other regions, but that is by and large irrelevant since in every region Wii is leading over PS2 sales over the same time period, which shows that Wii demand and production is higher (Since Wii was able to enter the markets much faster and sell in all three at a higher rate)
So while its true that PS2's doubling was more due to adding more regions than anything, but even taking PS2 out of the equation we still see the rise in DS sales which does by and large double as well in its second year
Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!! It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!! Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)
