CrazzyMan said:
@rocketpig:
0,55 mln. in Japan.
10,5 mln. in USA.
5,15 mln. in Europe.
Maximum x360 sales by the end of Year.
So it is 16,2 mln.
Probably, in 2008 there will be around:
3 mln. in Europe + Japan.
5-6 mln. in USA.
SO it` around 24-25 mln. by the end of 2008. UNLESS x360 will get amazing BOOST in sales.
With 8,5 mln. by the end of this year, PS3 will have to sell atleast 15,5-16 mln. in 2008.
52 weeks in 2008.
Last 2 month - are most sales. So, for 45 weeks, PS3 will have to sell 5-6 mln. it`s 110-130k per week average WORLDWIDE.
To make such sales, every week ps3 must sell only:
30k - Japan.
50k - Europe.
50k - USA.
EASY to achieve.
And sell 10 mln. in last 8 weeks.
3,5 mln. for usa. 6 weeks with aorund 400k + 2 weeks with around 600k.
3,5 mln. for europe.
3 mln. for Japan.
Will be HARD to achieve.
BUT, all games listed above MUST come in 2008 and WORLDWIDE. =)
With
40-50k - Japan.
80k-100k - Europe.
80k-100k - USA.
250k in 45 weeks = 11 mln. (+5 mln. in last 8 weeks)
200k in 45 weeks = 9 mln. (+7 ml. in last 8 weeks)
7 mln. in last 8 weeks:
2,5-3 mln.(here 3mln. by PS2) USA, 2,5-3 mln. Europe, 1-2 mln.(125-250k) Japan. |
Your numbers couldn't be more convoluted and confusing if you tried. Here, let me reiterate the only point that matters:
For the PS3 to pass the 360 in worldwide sales on January 1st, 2010, it must outsell the 360 by an average of 71,000 units per week, or over 50% more than it has sold on average thus far (132,000 per week).
Snowball+Chance<Hell
To reach your goal of "early 2009", it would have to outsell the 360 by roughly 110,000 consoles a week. That would put the PS3 somewhere in Wii territory.
Care to rethink your stance on this one? Or think about it at all?
