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WEWdeadeye said:
Avinash_Tyagi said:
DalekLord said:
i dont see there being 3.6 million people buying a wii outside of holidays, i cant see there being that level of demand. also you have no evidence for your speculation, the wii is selling very very well, and good for it, but just because there is a shortage doesn't mean that the shortage is massive, for all we know demand could have been sated by now of ninty had been producing 2.2 million units

 Unlikely, since if we compare Wii sales to DS and PS2, we see that the Wii has pretty much doubles the PS2's sales and added about 50% over the DS's year one sales, and considering how thoshe two consoles rose in their second year in sales, it is highly unlikely that Wii demand will not rise as well by similar levels


 You can't say it is highly unlikely that the Wii demand won't rise like the PS2 and DS demand did, because the Wii is something completely different.  We already know you can't use historical analysis to help explain what is going to happen to the Wii, because it is completely different.  This is the argument used by the Wii faithful most of the time too, so don't pull the fanboy rabbit out of the hat please.  Not saying that it won't, just that there is no way you can say it is highly unlikely wii's demand will not double too!!! 

The jury is still out on whether the wii can keep demand up in its second year.  Let's wait and see before trying to present your anecdotal evidence as perceived fact.


 Fair enough, I can wait a year, and when Wii supply is still less than demand, and there are still shortages, maybe all the claims of the Wii being a fad will be dead (I won't hold my breath through, i'm certain that people will still make that claim)



 

Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)