There are too many factors and too many unknowns right now to be able to predict this. We don't know release dates for many games for either system for next year yet. For example, while MGS4 will move massive amounts of PS3s and MS has no one game that can compete with it, if they were to release 4 'pretty big' games in the same week and advertise the hell outta them, it would certainly take a chunk out of PS3 sales. Especially if one of them is MS' counterpoint to MGS, Splinter Cell. It's a safe bet that there will be some kind of price drop just before GTAIV as well. This would certainly mean that Sony couldn't outsell MS for the year.
On the other hand, if Sony can eke out another $50 price drop, treat T-P's better with better dev kits, and not allow EA to publish ANYTHING on their console not on par with X360, there is a possibility of this happening.
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