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jarrod on 09 June 2010
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Lamtd said:
superchunk said:

They both have a good chance of reaching 62m.

However, they will start to trend downward heavily in 2011 and 2012 as the new consoles are demonstrated at E32011.

Neither will reach 70m.


There isn't a snowball's chance in hell that Sony announces a new console in 2011; GT5 isn't even out yet, and they're only about to roll out Move and stereoscopic 3D.

There are still plenty of games to be released in 2011, announcing a new system next year would most likely hurt the sales and make developers angry.

So IMO, PS3 should easily reach 60 millions as I don't think it has reached full speed yet, and Xbox 360 should also reach that figure assuming Natal sells well.

PS4 announced E3 or TGS 2011 (probably TGS actually), released Q4 2012.  That's a pretty reasonable and realistic timeline.