Will Obama be re-elected in 2012?

[badgenome]

johnsobas said:

badgenome said:

johnsobas said:

http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2010/03/25/polls-indicate-support-for-health-care-reform-has-increased-since-sunday-vote/?fbid=Kv89UZutLR4

49% in favor 40% against

Both polls are pretty old, being taken one and two days after the vote. It'd be interesting if they had more recent data, but neither Gallup nor Quinnipiac have released any polls on the subject since.

the difference is in the wording.  Many people thought the bill didn't go far enough and that is why they were against it.  Yet people thought it was at least a step in the right direction.

That would make no sense, since 58% want it repealed according to Rasmussen. They don't just disapprove of it for whatever reason, they want it gone.

A more reasonable explanation would be methodology. If Rasmussen is polling only likely voters, for example.