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well in Europe the PS3 is doing best (thats because the Europeen are srcewed in the head, they'll buy anything that says "best ..... (grafix)" or "fastes ......" or "prestige", and thats what the PS3 is lookes like to a lot of dudes in the EU area)

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I do beleve, that the Wii could be making "100$/console" sales, just look at how "old" the core-hardware really is (hell, they might even be making more...)

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but things just might change between the PS3 and the 360er, when they're "motion" stuff comes out:

will the casual gamers be attracted enough to the natal, it seems "new" (even if they've already got a Wii)?

will the core gamers be attracted enough to the Sony core games with new motion controlles... (dont think it will be as attracted for casual gamers, its really just the same as on the wii, nothing "new")