Will the Wii end 2008 with >= 50% market share?

[CrashMan]

bearsfan33 said:

Oh really?

Why, then, do games sell better (much better, in fact) on the 360 than the Wii?  What 3rd party titles for the Wii are lighting up the sales charts?  Oh yeah, that's right... there aren't any.  And, much like the Game Cube, and the N64, there probably won't be that many, either.

All of these "new gamers" to the Wii aren't interested in titles like UT3, MGS, Halo, or Forza, they want to play bowling.  And as long as that remains the current install base Nintendo is going for (casual gamers), those are the titles you are going to get.

 Rayman Raving Rabbids
 Resident Evil 4: Wii Edition
 Mario & Sonic at the Olympic Games
 Red Steel

All Non-Nintendo published million sellers on a console which 3rd parties pretty much wrote off prior to launch .

The owness of low 3rd party sales is placed on the developers for doing rush port jobs seriously lacking in quality.  Developers underestimated the mass appeal of the Wii and were caught with their pants down.

I doubt you have any real clue how long it really takes to make a quality game title, and a lot of quality 3rd party titles have not been released on the Wii. 

Once again I say it:  Think, learn, understand.  There are things in statistics called "lurking variables," and you have to take these things in to account when doing any sort of analysis.