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Avinash_Tyagi on 18 December 2007
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greenmedic88 said:
Avinash_Tyagi said:
greenmedic88 said:
Still need to sell 22 million in 2008 for the Wii and a combined 17 million max for the PS3/360 to see 50% of the market.

Who really sees this happening?

They'll sell more than 22 million, and PS3 and 360 won't sell more than 20 million combined


Are you willing to bet money on that?

50% of the market. Pretend for a minute that the Wii sells a magical 30 million in 2008.

360/PS3 sell a combined 25 million (a gain of only 2 million over 2007) to break in at an even 50% of the market.

Now how much are you willing to bet? 


 A line in my signature stating I was wrong about Wii capturing 50% of the market by end of 2008, also there is no way they'll sell 25 million in 2008 (it took 360 25 months to reach 15 million, and PS3 13 months to reach 8, so likely they'll have no more than 20 million next year, if that), so Wii would have to sell only about 25 million to over take the 50% mark in 2008



 

Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)