Will the Wii end 2008 with >= 50% market share?

[greenmedic88]

Avinash_Tyagi said:

greenmedic88 said:
Still need to sell 22 million in 2008 for the Wii and a combined 17 million max for the PS3/360 to see 50% of the market.

Who really sees this happening?

They'll sell more than 22 million, and PS3 and 360 won't sell more than 20 million combined

Are you willing to bet money on that?

50% of the market. Pretend for a minute that the Wii sells a magical 30 million in 2008.

360/PS3 sell a combined 25 million (a gain of only 2 million over 2007) to break in at an even 50% of the market.

Now how much are you willing to bet?