Will the Wii end 2008 with >= 50% market share?

[omgwtfbbq]

are we talking about 50% market share for the year? Or 50% install base.

The former, most definitely. In fact, going by HappySqurriel's numbers, it looks like the Wii will pull it off this year as well, depending on how their holiday stock goes.

As for 50% Install base, no, but it will by the end of 2009.