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I don't think anyone expects GT5 to do the same kind of numbers as GoW3, the game has a much bigger appeal and will not be rated mature like GoW3.
I think it's a given that GT5 will move more than 2 million copies in the US this year if it releases no later than November...



PS3-Xbox360 gap : 1.5 millions and going up in PS3 favor !

PS3-Wii gap : 20 millions and going down !