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I'm assuming you mean this year, so far we have:

God of War 3 1.5
Heavy rain 0.54
MAG 0.50
White Knight Chronicles 0.18
Yakuza 3 0.10
MLB 2010: The Show 0.41

They add up to 3.23, these games are obviously going to keep selling until Reach is released.
I also didn't include any of the smaller niche titles like 3D Dot Game Heroes.

With SOCOM 4, Gran Turismo 5, Eye Pet, Little Big Planet 2, Modnation Racer's and some unannounced games releasing this year, then Reach would have to sell much more than 5 - 6 million to beat them all.



Bet with Conegamer and AussieGecko that the PS3 will have more exclusives in 2011 than the Wii or 360... or something.

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=3879752