Smashchu2 said:
Well, you know there are formulas for everything, including demand curvers. You are right, that they are estimates, but you can look at sales and see what is going on. PS3 has only had two jumps outside of Christmas (which everyone gets a boost). The first was the first price cut, the second was the slim release. Both were reductions in price, which points to an increase in Quantity Demanded, and not a increase in demand (a shift). None of what you mentioned has any proof of making a substantial change. Evicence would suggest it's not adoption of Blu-Ray becuase sales would decline over time until another price cut. The idea that people think gamestop would lie about being short of stock to make it look better for sony seems way out there than compair to the idea that demand for the product went up a little more than Sony expected so they are a little short when they are switching from one chip type to another. The Game Industry kisses Sony's ass, going as far as to cover up blunders (no talk of the PSP Go at all) or word things that make it in Sony's favor. These are professionals doing it too. It would not be crazy to think that Gamestop over stated a shortage or was talking about it in a way that made it look good for Sony. Also remember that no one talks about New Super Mario Bros Wii despite it sold 10 million in 2 months (hard to ingore). |
rediction in price makes a jump because it's a huge shift other changes in demand can really only be mesured well after the fact. Or once you can compair it to itself instead of just the price cute so like a year after the price cut. Even then there are as I said many things that effect demand. I was listing a few. Just to try and get you to stop saying that there is no difference in demand like it is a fact.
One other way of mesuring demand of things is seeing how well it sells second hand or used. When the wii was really in demand and almost always sold out everywhere it would sell more on the second hand market. It's not as bad as it was for the wii in terms of how big the mark up is. But very often now there is mark up for the ps3. Currently to get it on amazon it would cost you 369.95 plus 29.95 to get it through Woldwide Distributors. So the demand is higher than the supply to a point.
I think you really have a wrong perception if you think the game industry kisses sony's ass. They might not talk about the psp go but it's not like they are making ton's of games for it either. Gamestop also mention wii being supply constrained as well. Is it really hard for you to believe that demand for the ps3 is higher than what it is selling currently since there was a lot of big software released earlier this year. Since they are selling less than both the wii and the 360 in the US an supply constrained I think that would be pretty much saying sony is having a big blunder and not covering it up. Sony isn't makeing enough to meet demand while the other console makers aren't haveing the problem and selling more.








