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People are still thinking Wii sales will slow down, rather than speed up? I suppose it's still forgivable, but if you don't get a clue by the end of next year, then I'm getting seriously worried.

40M is the absolute minimum the Wii can be at when 2008 ends. 60M is a pretty optimistic estimate, but could happen if Nintendo gets bold and increases production by enough. The total will probably be somewhere in between the two.