victor4o said:
numonex said:
The gap between XBox 360 and PS3 will be over 6 million by March 2011.
You have forgotten the 360 is going to kick butt over the PS3 in the last quarter of this year and equal PS3 in consoles sold in 2010. 12 million sold for both 360 and PS3 in 2010.
PS3 will not have the sales momentum of a PS3 Slim launch and 25% reduction in price like it jhad last year. PS3 is a short space released Uncharted 2, God of War 3, Final Fantasy XIII exclusive in Japan, PS3 version of FFXIII sold more in Europe and NA than 360, COD: MW 2(also on 360 and PC) and Heavy Rain. 360 only had Mass Effect 2 released in the same period and no price cuts.
360 price cuts + Natal launch + Halo: Reach. 360 has a bigger second half of the year games list than the PS3. Crackdown 2, Fable 3 and Halo: Reach. Gears of War 3 launches in March 2011- the month you believe the PS3 will overtake the 360. hmmmm.
I would not hold your breath on another PS3 Price cut or Gran Turismo 5 launch in 2010.
Most likely the PS3 will not overtake the 360 in total sales until 2013. Gilgamesh will be proven to be way off with his sales prediction. 2 years off the mark. For the sake of competition let's hope that the 360 stays in front of the PS3 in total sales.
What do you win if you actually get this sales prediction right? |
So then what are your end of 2010 predictions exactly based on? That must be quite different scenario you have there...
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I made those sales predictions at the start of the year. 4 and a half months later I have had a change of heart in regards to the sales predictions. 360 will start to outsell the PS3 in the last 3 months of the year when Halo: Reach + Natal + Price cuts come into effect towards the end of the year. 360 should be around 5.5 million in front of the PS3 by the end of the year. The PS360 gap will fall to 4.3 million and the 360 will claw back 1.2 million on the PS3 in the final quarter of 2010.
The 360 will regain most or all of the early console sales losses to the PS3 first 9 month of 2010. The last 3 months will be decisive one way or the other. PS360 gap anywhere between 3 million and 5.5 million for end of 2010. Black Friday in America should favour the 360 over the PS3 with Natal expected to be a sales hit. MS have invested a lot more into Natal than Sony have invested into Move.
I am hoping the sales momentum can change again between the 360 and PS3. Keep the console sales war alive.
