jesus kung fu magic said:
Gilgamesh said:
STEKSTAV said:
Gilgamesh said:
nightsurge said:
Just so you know, PSP's estimate for last year was 15 million, too, before they adjusted it down 5 million to just 10 million after the Go flopped. They are simply way overestimating what affect PS Move will have. Also, MS doesn't do estimates, but I expect they are set to sell at least 12-13 million if not more thanks to Slim + Price Cut + Natal + Halo + Gears + Fable all coming in the next fiscal year.
Also, I believe this is the first time a PS3 estimate has not had to be adjusted down in order to be met so you shouldn't assume it will be correct based on one good year. |
"but I expect they are set to sell at least 12-13 million if not more thanks to Slim + Price Cut + Natal + Halo + Gears + Fable all coming in the next fiscal year."
The most the X360 has sold in a year was 11 million which was in 2008, your saying it's going to sell 1 - 2 million more then that?! I don't think that's possible. First of all Halo, Gears and Fable are not system sellers, the only people that are going to buy them are the existing X360 owners, we all know that. Second a price cut probably wouldn't make a big difference, I mean it's already selling at $200 and it's in it's 5th year, hell it was on sale for $130 for a while. At the most all they can do is drop both SKU's by 50 bucks and I doubt that'll make a huge difference.
Now for the Slim, no one knows if it's real or not so you can't say it's coming if it's not confirmed. And Natal is the wild card, it could do nothing to sales or help it, it won't make a huge impact. I'm skeptical that Natal and Move will do anything to hardware sales.
From the looks of things the PS3 is going to sell very well in 2010, it's already up like 35% from last year, and the big guns aren't even out yet, the PS3's biggest system seller GT5 should be releasing by the end of the year, that'll sell a ton of PS3's.
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What are the big guns? Besides GT5?
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The Last Guardian, FFVXIII, FFXIV, Socom 4 (going to be big, way better then Navy seals), Modnation racer, Agent, Twisted Metal, and then all those other sequels for the existing PS3 owners.
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I love how you said that halo , gears and fable arent system sellers and then go on to name games you think are system sellers when the fact is they arent.
You never disappoint
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Problem with this.
1. Halo isn't a system seller. Everyone going to purchase future Halo games already owns a 360. Gears and Fable will sell more systems than Halo, even though they won't sell very many.
2. FFVXIII is the answer to the disappointment that FFXIII became when people realized it was missing a lot of key elements that made the old FF games so great. It'll sell as many systems as Gears or Fable will.
3. FFXIV. A current gen MMORPG on consoles. MMO seekers will buy the PS3 just to play. It should sell slightly more consoles than VXIII should.
4. Socom 4. Confrontation was a flop because it didn't really resemble the old Ps2 Socom games which had a LARGE userbase. Very few of the SOCOM fans from PS2 bought Confrontation. Socom 4 is their answer, and the PERFECT reason for them to purchase a PS3 if they haven't already. It should sell as many consoles as FFXIV.
5. Twisted Metal PS3. There are millions of Twisted Metal fans that don't own a PS3. Most of them were more casual gamers and probably still own/play their PS2. Twisted Metal is considered a heavy hitter being such a famed franchise. It should sell more consoles than any other game I've discussed above.
I don't, however, agree with Modnation Racers or Agent as being big console sellers. Modnation might sell some consoles to the curious, but unless it develops a huge userbase and grows some 'legs', I don't see it selling enough consoles to give the PS3 more than a 5% bump in HW sales for the first month after Modnations release.
