PS3 bigger than 360 before the end of 2011? No way.
Have everyone forgot the tick tock phase since 2007? 360 gets a cut in 2008, Sonys hurting in the spring of 2009. Remember the threads from that time, "PS3 dooomed".
Sony strickes back with a solid new hardware revision + a hefty pricecut. Back in the swing and now 1 year since "PS3 is doooomed" we see "360 is dooomed".
2010
Microsoft WILL launch a Slim version. Leaked hardware pcitures tells us before end of 2010. The Arcade SKU WILL be combined with the Natal (Arcade can push margins since it does not bear the heavy cost of HDD).
And never ever ever ever forget the Marketing power of Micrsoft. Look back at the hype of Halo 3, they made people belive that the game was created by god himself and the sales wher e huge compared with the istall base. Loads of games that had long history and equal strong names has been launched on both plattform, on a bigger install base, but none has come up in the same amount (but MW2 will soon).
The Hype that Microsoft is going to build around Natal will make presidents belive that it could save the worlds problems.
A Natal + Arcade slim will be the perfetct competition for Wii. Every day people do not need a hefty HDD, around 1gb internal NAND will do. The move to allow USB memory indicates that Arcade is the focus.
The pricepoint of Natal + Arcade will be good enough to justify to buy a new one a scrap the old one instead of buying Natal stand alone. Low price + new smaller design + Natal = success.
Sorry mate, PS3 will NOT pass 360 in 2011.
Predictions for 2009:
360: 39-42 PS3: 31-34 Wii: 67-70
Future projection
Wii will hit 100 million before christmas 2010 (made december 2008)
NDS Family will have sold and shipped more then PS2 at the end of 2009 (made january 2009)
