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Netyaroze on 14 May 2010
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The nearer PS3 get to 360 the more are 360 fans defending Xbox status.


I wonder when Xbox fans will admit that its over. Maybe after gap shrunk to 3 Million ?


If PS3 will ever have a gap bigger then 6.25 Million again. I will admit that PS3 has no chance getting second place.

But if Sonys projections are 1 Million less then projected and Xbox BEATS its peak year by 500k they Gap will still be down to 2 Million until March 2011.

Yeah Xbox is able of good sales. But somehow people dont realize peak year Xbox 11 Mio Peak year PS3 13 Million until now. Even if PS3 peaked at 13 Million and it will sell every year less and less from now on. It would still beat Xbox360. If natal doesnt change everything its over. It has been over a long time for me since i knew if everything follows the rules it always do PS3 will catch Xbox360 sooner or later.

The scenarios for Xbox to win the race are not very likely: 

If PS3 has a mayor decline after September 2010 and will sell just under 13 Million lets say 12.5 Million and Xbox360 will be rescued through Natal and it will be mayor hit. So that Xbox360 will peak 2 years after its first peak. (Which hasnt happened before atleast idk any example for it). This would be the perfect scenario for Xbox. All other realistic scenarios point towards PS3. Xbox has to outsell its peak than ks to natal ny 1.5-2 Million units until march that would mean a mayor turnaround in Japan for Xbox360 (PS3 like sales) and exceed European PS3 sales and top USA sales in its best times and PS3 would have to sell  on 2008 level. But this wont happen never ever. Japan is totally lost for MS and this makes sure that the gap will diminish EU and USA could be the same for Xbox and PS3 but still they would loose because of Japan.  


I think Xbox has a chance to really stretch this thing if they sell as much as in 2008. But looking at Europe and Japan it seems absolutely unlikely for me USA cant make up for th ehuge deficits. I would bet any amount of money on the win of the PS3 and I doubt anyone here would bet with me since if they are honest everyone knows that PS3 will catch 360 sooner or later.

Natal is the only wildcard. But the effect of it has to he gigantic and tbh I really think everyone overestimates it. In my eyes Slim would have a far bigger effect on the Sales of Xbox360.
But the problem is Europe and Japan just dont like Xbox as much as PS3 (except Uk). Sales there are shrinking. And if USA will peak for Xbox massively and Europe and Japan are at 2009 level then Xbox STILL will sell less then PS3. its just highly unlikely that Xbox can turn around the wheel.