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sieanr said:

Halo 3 is coming out in September, not to mention Bioshock in August. MS has a pretty solid release schedule from here to the end of the year, whereas Sony has a bunch of maybe 2007. Liar was supposed to be out this month, but now it's been delayed to sometime later, Heavenly Sword was rumored for the spring but (maybe?) June/July. 

Almost nothing is known of Killzone 2 outside of prerenderd video, so saying it's certain for this year is, at the very least, a little brazen. If this is Sony's Halo killer than why not try to get some press out now before the halo 3 beta and launch buildup shitstorm? MGS4 is not happening this year, and I highly doubt FF as well.

Warhawk is not going to do massive numbers IMHO. I bet it's going to be a very decisive game, that is some people will love it but others wont be able to stand it, thus leading to mixed opinions/reviews and mediocre sales - but again this is MHO.

Drake, who knows.... Almost nothing is known about this game but atleast the devs are doing a new ip.

On the inverse, I bet Bioshock will be a great game but do shitty sales. Shadowrun will find a cult following but few sales, Forza 2 will be slightly disappointing at launch but sales will pickup around the holiday. Mass Effect may be buried under the launch of Halo 3, along with other 360 titles. Eternal Sonata will be drop dead gorgeous, but have a compeltly inane and typical JRPG storyline.


I can agree with most of that. I feel it's safe to say that if MGS4 doesn't launch to compete with Halo 3, Mass Effect, Bioshock, etc., Sony is going to be delivered an ass-whoopin' of monstrous proportions this holiday season, especially in the US. It will be ugly. Sony needs a AAA franchise to release this holiday season to even hope to stop MS from stomping them.

About Bioshock, I'm inclined to agree. I expect the game to receive rave reviews, garner massive awards, and sell about 1 to 1.5 million copies, or about 1/5th of Halo 3. Even that is kinda a best-case scenario for Irrational Games. I think they'll make money on it (in fact, I'm almost sure they will), but it will fade away in the GTA IV/H3 storm that's starting to brew. The same applies to Mass Effect. Bioware kinda screwed the pooch by pushing back their release date. It should do decently (again, to rave reviews), but it will get lost in the shuffle somewhat. 




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