Halo 3 perorders 4 million?

[sieanr]

Munkeh said:

rocketpig said:

Munkeh said:

Are you saying that just because of what an original game was like determines how good the next game was. Was GTA 2 an incredible game, I doubt it, then GTA III came along and changed the face of gaming. If you;ve played Killzone Liberation you will know that it is an extremely good game, and I think that Guerilla will build form there. If you are also counting games released earlier in the year, you also have Lair, which will be a great game as well, which's developer's last game was though to be very good (i think).

You may say ignore FF XIII because it's probably not coming out this year, but many people will think that they might just wait to get that, rather than buying Blue Dragon and/or Lost Odessey.

I'm saying that I'll hedge my bets on a successful developer in a genre (say, Bioware in RPG) over a mediocre developer in another genre (Say, Guerilla in FPS). Besides, Killzone is going to be head-to-head with Halo. Do you honestly think that Killzone is going to get more than 15 seconds of press from anyone? Not to say that it will be a horrible game, it's just likely that no one will care.

Yes, people might wait for FF on the PS3. But that wasn't the argument, was it? We were arguing the merits of the upcoming games (pre-holiday 2007) for each system.

Lair does need to be included. While I think the game will be mildly successful, I don't think it will rock anyone's world. I'd put it a little higher than Eternal Sonata and a little lower than Mass Effect or Bioshock (who, if you remember, cleaned up E3 in Best of Show awards).

I rekon Sony is clever enough to avoid a head to head fight with Halo 3, the PS3 games will come at the start of the holiday season (September) and should carry it though past christmas into the new year

I also though the arguement was whether or not Halo 3 has 4M pre-orders, but people go off topic 

 Halo 3 is coming out in September, not to mention Bioshock in August. MS has a pretty solid release schedule from here to the end of the year, whereas Sony has a bunch of maybe 2007. Liar was supposed to be out this month, but now it's been delayed to sometime later, Heavenly Sword was rumored for the spring but (maybe?) June/July. 

Almost nothing is known of Killzone 2 outside of prerenderd video, so saying it's certain for this year is, at the very least, a little brazen. If this is Sony's Halo killer than why not try to get some press out now before the halo 3 beta and launch buildup shitstorm? MGS4 is not happening this year, and I highly doubt FF as well.

Warhawk is not going to do massive numbers IMHO. I bet it's going to be a very decisive game, that is some people will love it but others wont be able to stand it, thus leading to mixed opinions/reviews and mediocre sales - but again this is MHO.

Drake, who knows.... Almost nothing is known about this game but atleast the devs are doing a new ip.

 

On the inverse, I bet Bioshock will be a great game but do shitty sales. Shadowrun will find a cult following but few sales, Forza 2 will be slightly disappointing at launch but sales will pickup around the holiday. Mass Effect may be buried under the launch of Halo 3, along with other 360 titles. Eternal Sonata will be drop dead gorgeous, but have a compeltly inane and typical JRPG storyline.