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Its hard to say, I love Heavy Rain, But these two games are so different, they really should not compete in the sales cat. Alan Wake may sale more, Heavy Rain was a whole new game experience, different from anything else out there in the gaming world, also QD is a very small Developer that has only made a few games, vs Remedy, which has made tons of games, and Alan Wake has been in development for 6 years, crazy, since before the 360 was even out, So I would say AW should sale more , will it who knows, with all the time and money spent on AW it would be a HUGH let down it it does not sale well. Heavy Rain was a Experament which did very well. Really hard to compare these two games.