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mrstickball said:
I think we'll start talking about Android/iPhone taking a bite out of handhelds when the 3DS launches, and it doesn't sell as well as some would hope.

2-3 years from now, the focus will all be on mobiles and not on the 3DS/PSP2. It makes little sense to develop on these platforms, as a top-tier game on a mobile will make a lot more money, and cost quite a bit less...And has a better long-tail for sales.

A great example would be Robo Defense for Android. Its been the #1 game on Android since it debuted last May. Not only has it stayed at #1, the per-month sales of the game has actually increased 2 or 3 fold since it debuted...So sales for a year-old game are still increasing. Not bad for a game that probably cost one or two developers a few months of time to make.

3DS won't fail, probably will sell worse than DS (DS is a monster, plus 3DS will be sold in a market with more competition) but will be succesfull as any other Nintendo platform. The DS is selling crazy even with Android and iPhone, this shows there's still room for hanhelds, especially in japan. Anyway I would say that Nintendo should start thinking to enter in the phone market, maybe with Android like a partner...that would guarantee life for many years, and many new customers too.



CURRENTLY PLAYING: Xenoblade (Wii), Super mario 3D land (3DS), Guild Wars (PC)