Android market share surpasses iPhone's, NPD says

[famousringo]

superchunk said:

mrstickball said:

superchunk said:

mrstickball said:
There is NO way its total install base in the US. Android systems sold around 8 million units through December of last year...Compared to (most likely) 20-25 million iPhones in the US.

It does speak to the pace of sales increases among Android phones, though.

Considering its available on many carries with many varying types of hardware and that verizon has had a buy 1 get 1 free deal since the droid phones launched, I think its highly doable.

No. Still not possible.

Again, Android sold about 8-9 million units worldwide through Q4 of 2009, compared to no less than 50 million for the iPhone, worldwide. If Android actually outsold the iPhone's LTD install base, we would be hearing a lot more.

Difference is the 8-9m was over 4 months ago, 4 months of being on a carrier who has over 90m users that was offering bogo free deal the entire time on multiple adroid os based hardware.

Also consider that the 50m+ iphones are easily 60% rebuys from older iphone hardware. There are probably only about ~30-35m unique users WORLDWIDE. So for NPD, the US only figure is probably ~15-20m and that is definitely doable for android phones.

WW, iphone surely still leads, but in US, thanks almost exclusively to Verizon's huge push, droid is probably king of the #2 position behind blackberry.

 

EDIT: after thinking about it more, my 60% rebuy is probably low. Its probably mroe like 80% or more. Most iphones sold now are simply people annually buying the new model to replace their older model. Whereas nearly all of the android based phones being sold are to new users who either had no smart phone or used a winOS/palm/bb.

 

EDIT 2: I am probably really close for iphone users in US. Neilson says only 7m as of June 2009.

http://blog.nielsen.com/nielsenwire/online_mobile/iphone-users-watch-more-video-and-are-older-than-you-think/

Considering the bogo offer and that at best iphones have doubled over the last year, Android OS could easily be higher in total active users.

You make a lot of assumptions.

http://www.comscore.com/Press_Events/Press_Releases/2010/4/comScore_Reports_February_2010_U.S._Mobile_Subscriber_Market_Share

In February, 25% of American smartphone subscribers used iPhones, and 9% used Android phones. Do you think the Android user base has tripled in the last two months?

Android is growing fast. There's no need to grossly exxagerate how well it's doing.