I'm Calling It: The Console & Portable Peak For HW/SW Has Passed Already

[saicho]

leo-j said:
I'm not sure why you people are trying to make fun of my post.. the PS2 had the majority of its sales after it hit $199.. as did the XBOX 360, the wii has been fairly close to $199 its entire lifespan.. and even then its flat compared to last year. PS3 has a fairly low install base the wii has a fairly large one, I think the ps3 has room to grow once it hits $199, not saying the wii doesnt, but its already at the $199 price point, and clearly selling great.

No one said Wii is not selling great and I never said PS3 has reached its peak. However, what I had question with is your reason on why PS3 hasn't reached its peak.

This is what you said "because like every console in the past, a $199 price point usually brings about the console's true peak.." If that would be the case for PS3, it would certainly be the case for Wii. Is there any console in the past peaked at the launch price? If Wii is the exception of the rule, there is a chance for PS3 to be the exception as well.

As for The Source's prediction onHW peak, it's certainly possible. Even if Wii holds steady at 20.5 mil a year, PS3/360 needs to have a 16% increase from last FY in order to match the HW number from FY 3/2009. While it's not impossible, it would require a lot of good moves to make it happen.