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SaviorX said:
The thing is, the delay of one title could be completely unrelated to the development process of another.

Just because Metroid was delayed for a 'distributive release' does not mean that suddenly it will take longer to make Zelda. Zelda is a WM+ priority.

It won't take longer to make, it just might get the same 'distributive release'. The decision really hinges on whether zelda really is the wm+ mover that they say it is. If so, it should be out before christmas, but if they think that they will sell more zeldas AFTER christmas than during christmas....

It really depends on how many they think they will sell.

Think about it like this.

During Christmas, a wii owner is probably going to want a game, and will probably get a game or two from friends or relatives, giftcards etc.
What game will that be?

Well, if Zelda is out, and they like zelda and other "traditionally core" games, they will probably get zelda and maybe mario or metroid or some other game.
If Zelda is not out, they will probably get SMG2 or metroid or some other game.

The question is, how many games would they buy if zelda was released during christmas vs after christmas. Will fans buy Zelda whenever it comes out? If so, would zelda cut into another game's sales during christmas? For example, someone always gets 2 games for christmas. Zelda is not out. So, SMG2 and metroid are purchased.  Later Zelda is purchased.
Now, say Zelda is out. The two games are Zelda and SMG2. Will Metroid be purchased later? In the case of longtime nintendo fans, the answer would probably be yes.

But if not, could zelda "steal" a purchase?

Now, this question would be answered by Nintendo with data and surveys and statistics and such. I have no such evidence, but logically, it's possible. The answer is what the bottom line looks like after testing. Whichever one is higher is how the release will be scheduled.