MikeB on 28 April 2010
@ numonex
You failed to provide a reasonable explanation on how the PS3 will achieve the 15 million
The future proof design of the console should be the key, together with excellent exclusive releases.
The PS3 sold 9.7 million units in Q2/Q3 when the PS3 slim was released (*). VGChartz predicts 3.1 million PS3s to have sold to retail in Q4. If so that makes 12.8 million and thus it would only take the PS3 slim another 2.2 million to reach 15 million for a year of sales (or 28% sales increase compared to FY2009 Q1 results, which seems very likely).
* This is a simplified version of course, as in reality the PS3 slim was launched in September 2009, so 2 slower sales months with only fat PS3s available and a huge spike in the last month for that quarter due to the PS3 slim. So in reality 1 year sales will be higher than this for the PS3 slim based on this scenario.
And if we assume VGChartz was horribly wrong and 2.5 million PS3s were sold (still a million more sold to retail than the 360 shipped), it would mean PS3 sales to retail needs to do 2.8 million for FY 2010 Q1 to reach 15 million sales (*). Which seems plausible considering the shortages can be taken care off by then and this would only account for a 43% sales increase compared to FY 2009 Q1, which is roughly in line with the YOY sales increases we are seeing in general.
