Will the PS3 overtake the 360 before the end of 2010?

[Netyaroze]

eventually 2011.

Halo reach wont be a huge systemseller. It will sell ofcourse a lot of units.

Gt5 on the other hand will be a systemseller (zelda wii could be another one because is the first real Wii Zelda)

And natal needs the right software. I dont believe that it will have the right software this christmas. (It needs time to figure out what you can do with it.)

Move is simpler to develop for the system is well known (wii). Natal on the other hand is new and we have seen that without buttons controlling a game is actually hard so developers have to find ways making controls still good. Molyneaux said that its not easy to develop for Natal mainly because of no buttons.

Xbox peaked already in 2008 if its going to peak this year it would be pretty big. But even then Xbox would have to sell 20% more in 2010 then in its previous best year (every week) which is not the case so far. And PS3 will beat 2009 this year.

A Slim Xbox and a pricecut is the only chance I see for MS to stop the PS3 a little.

Christmas will be big if PS3 manages to sell again 2 Million more then 360 in the last quarter then the gap would be down to 3 Million. If MS will change the trend and somehow catch up the deficits this year (to PS3 2009). And PS3 will sell not better at christmas 2010 then the gap could be just 4-4.5 Million after this year.

A big pricecut for 360 (100 Dollar) and a Slim plus natal beeing decent, could change everything. Even though I think Sony is prepared for such a case and will offer also a Pricecut (if neccessary).