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Where would the 16m systems be sold in the next year?

You'd need something like 6.5m Americas, 2.5m Japan, 7m Others and demand doesn't look like that high for PS3.

Microsoft and Sony are likely to cut price again this year, but Nintendo probably will too so it may be a bit of a wash on that side. Move / Natal effectively jack up the price of X360 and PS3 so I don't think they impact much until 2011 or later if ever.

PS3 and X360 may have peaked in the year ending March 2010, for X360 because of its age, for PS3 because Wii/X360 will drop below $200 soon.



People are difficult to govern because they have too much knowledge.

When there are more laws, there are more criminals.

- Lao Tzu