Screen Digest still believes the PS3 will take the worldwide lead

[mike_intellivision]

It might have been more useful (and more proper) had Screen Digest used a bar graph. After all, it appears to try to be capturing annual sales to project console lifetime sales (at least until 2011).

By doing that, the data would be less open to being misinterpreted. There would be no discussion about how sales are suddenly going to tick up in a few weeks or the much more mundane (but very relevant) whehter 07 means year end, year beginning, or year mid-point arguement.

Also, if you note, SD does NOT have PS3 outselling Wii lifetime, it has it ALMOST catching it lifetime (through 2011). Based on the trends, it might pass it in 2012.

Finally, this is not that differnt than another analysis I saw which had the Wii winning the hardware battle and Sony winning the software battle as it finished a close second with a higher attach rate. While I cannot remember the source, it was the only analysis that predicted the Wii selling like hotcakes upon launch, so it at least got that right.

The whole point is that analysts (1) have their own previous predictions to safefguard and (2) don't know much more than we do, but get paid for giving their opinions.

Mike from Morgantown

Remember -- All you need to be a consutant is 50 miles from home with a briefcase.