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toastboy44562 said:
mw2 will be the only one if gt5 doesnt get bundled

Pretty much this.  GT5's chances of passing 10m depend entirely on how it's bundled.  If it's like Prologue (ie: "for free" and widespread) then it definitely will.  If there's no bundles at all, I think it'll top out around 6-7m worldwide (say 4m EU, 1.5m NA, 800k JP).