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Recent posts have made it much harder for me to feel confident in any lynch. I even considered a No Lynch scenario, but it probably wouldn't help any. Here are my current thoughts:

--I believe dsister is a zombie.
--If SuperAdrianK or theRepublic are human, I believe it may well be a lone wolf situation (only one human left) ... it's true that there were several potentially nightkill immune roles, but they all had drawbacks (might die, can't vote, has to hammer); and we have no doctor and an extremely limited investigator. So a two human game isn't out of the question IMO.
--If there are two humans, I think it's very likely that nordlead is one of them.
--dsister did a pretty good job of defending nordlead. If nordlead is human, he likely planned this well in advance. Can anyone comment on the plausibility of this?

@ theRepublic, please reconsider not roleclaiming today. At the least, can you say whether you think that there are one or two humans left, based on your extra knowledge of your own role?

@dsister, forgive me if I missed this from earlier, but why exactly do you suspect theRepublic? Just because he won't roleclaim?

To respond to dsister's post: the first quote of nordlead is interesting because it was what made me suspicious of him on Day 1. His hypersensitivity to trangent supposedly trying to flush out an investigator seemed illogical and consequently scummy to me at the time. Now, if he was himself a lie detector, I could see him being hypersensitive to discussion of the possibility of one. But I could also see him being human and trying to discredit trangent's little campaign. And in point of fact he did resist going along with the pledge of allegiance for what seemed like a disturbingly long time.

Similarly, he might have been recommending that people not blow limited investigations on Night 1 because he himself had only the one ... or maybe because he wanted to delay any potential detection, and because he's a popular Night 1 target on both sides.

And although he did vote for SM128 (was the first in fact IIRC), he might have seen the writing on the wall, as suspicion was clearly at a very high level, and just wanted the day over with before any more crazy revelations happened. SM128 was floundering a bit and it's conceivable that he could have implicated nordlead somehow before going down.

Ultimately, for me, in this game, it boils down to the fact that I want to go with my gut -- it was right on Day 1 even though I second guessed myself later on. Maybe I'll regret it when I wake up in Humantown tomorrow, but hopefully not.

Vote nordlead
Do your thing Trucks.

P.S. Yes I realize that I am asking theRepublic to roleclaim at the same time I am moving us closer to the end of the day which would preclude him from complying, not to mention stop me from acting on that info. What can I say -- I'm torn. If he does give it that may cause me to at least temporarily step back and reassess.



Tag (courtesy of fkusumot): "Please feel free -- nay, I encourage you -- to offer rebuttal."
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My advice to fanboys: Brag about stuff that's true, not about stuff that's false. Predict stuff that's likely, not stuff that's unlikely. You will be happier, and we will be happier.

"Everyone is entitled to his own opinion, but not his own facts." - Sen. Pat Moynihan
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The old smileys: ; - ) : - ) : - ( : - P : - D : - # ( c ) ( k ) ( y ) If anyone knows the shortcut for , let me know!
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I have the most epic death scene ever in VGChartz Mafia.  Thanks WordsofWisdom!