When will Wii outsell PS2?

[Ail]

The Ghost of RubangB said:

Mummelmann said:

The Ghost of RubangB said:
Wii has outsold the PS2 every year with aligned launches. To not outsell the PS2 it not only has to slow down really fast, it has to slow down much much faster than the PS2 did, but it just has too much momentum to do that. If GTA4, Halo 3, God of War 3, Metal Gear Solid 4, Modern Warfare 2, Final Fantasy 13, and everything else couldn't slow it down, what will? Sports Champions, Move Party, Brunswick Bowling, Ricochet, and Milo? I am suddenly rolling on the floor laughing.

Have you read any of the posts or are you trying to make yourself look stupid on purpose? No one here is claiming that HD software will "stop the Wii" so get a hold of yourself and stop being so childish. The next generation starting will lead to a decline in sales of all platforms and a halt eventually, the only dispute lies in when this generation starts and how much momentum is lost until then. Or are you one of those who believe that the next Wii won't be out until 2020 because it will never stop selling?

Save for Scottie, who is actually behaving like an adult, all I see in this thread are people pointing and saying "lol, you're stupid", solid arguments indeed. I somehow expected more from the senior members, guess I was wrong to do so.

Well I don't bump into you in too many threads these days, so I can understand how I came off like an idiot.  I skimmed through most of the thread.  I am a firm believer that software sells systems.  It will take software to slow the Wii down.  In my opinion all the biggest games for 360 and PS3 have already come out and not even dented the Wii's sales.  So you and many others have the opinion that what will slow the Wii down will be the software from the Wii 2 and other systems of the next generation.  Sure, it's a possibility.  But the DS/PSP didn't slow the GBA down, the Wii/PS3/360 didn't slow the PS2 down, the PS2/XBox/GC didn't slow the PS1 down.  The market leader always lasts between 3 and 13 extra years, where it just keeps dominating and very slowly declines.

DS came out in 2004.  360 came out in 2005.  Wii and PS3 came out in 2006.  GBA was still outselling the PS3 in 2007.  That's how powerful market leaders are.  The Wii should last longer than the GBA, since the GBA didn't exactly have a huge game-changing market-expander like Wii Sports or Wii Fit.

The majority of consoles are sold at $200 or less.  The Wii sold more units at its original price than any other console.  Now it's at $200 or less.  It should at least double its sales.

 

The one small argument I would have to refute this is that the Wii price cut seems to be loosing steam and not have as big an effect as price cut usually have.

Q1 2010 sales are the same as Q1 2009 at a 50$ lower price point..

Some will argue sales would have been higher were it not for stock issues. But don't forget that in January 2009 Wii had stock issues in the US too....( and please don't bring up the software line up, we're talking Animal Crossing and Wii Music vs NSMBWii, so 2010 obviously has the better software..)